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This paper analyses the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the current account of the balance of payments and considers how Ricardian equivalence changes this relationship. To do so, we estimate a dynamic panel threshold model for 22 industrialised countries in which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790939
in consumption in five key sectors: tourism, hospitality, services, retail, and public transports. We identify a large …-term sectoral consumption shifts may occur. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643267
We investigate which variables have supported growth in the euro area over the last 30 years. This is a challenging task due to dimensionality problems: a large set of potential determinants, limited data, and the prospect that some variables could be non-stationary. We assemble a set of 35...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625874
We study the cyclical dynamics of consumption in the euro area (EA) and the large EA countries by distinguishing … cross-country heterogeneity in how different factors (including durable-specific ones) explain consumption; (iii) the … strength of spillovers from durable to nondurable consumption, as predicted by theory, is empirically correlated with how much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197836
This paper develops a small New Keynesian model with capital accumulation and government debt dynamics. The paper discusses the design of simple monetary and fiscal policy rules consistent with determinate equilibrium dynamics in the absence of Ricardian equivalence. Under this assumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337474
We revisit the so-called "secular international problem", whereby the adjustment of current account imbalances purportedly falls entirely on the shoulders of deficit countries. We introduce a stylised model to rationalise an asymmetric counter-cyclical policy reaction that is stronger for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013552616
This paper analyses the incidence and severity of sudden stops in euro area countries before and after the introduction of the ECB's asset purchase programmes. We define sudden stops as abrupt declines in private net financial inflows, i.e. total flows adjusted for EU and IMF loans and changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643263
We study the role and the interaction of the quality of institutions and of counter-cyclical policies in leaning against the Global Financial Cycle (GFC) in Emerging Economies (EMEs). We show that heteroegeneity in institutional strength is a key determinant of the different effects of the GFC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488632
In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983667
This paper introduces the Consumer Expectations Survey (CES), a new online, high frequency panel survey of euro area consumers' expectations and behaviour. The paper also investigates whether public perceptions about fiscal support measures introduced during the pandemic have influenced spending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818792