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Cyclical drivers of euro area consumption : what can we learn from durable goods?
Casalis, André; Krustev, Georgi - 2020
We study the cyclical dynamics of consumption in the euro area (EA) and the large EA countries by distinguishing … cross-country heterogeneity in how different factors (including durable-specific ones) explain consumption; (iii) the … strength of spillovers from durable to nondurable consumption, as predicted by theory, is empirically correlated with how much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197836
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Revenue- versus spending-based consolidation plans : the role of follow-up
Beetsma, Roel; Furtuna, Oana; Giuliodori, Massimo - 2018
The literature on fiscal multipliers finds that spending-based fiscal consolidations tend to have more benign macro-economic consequences than revenue-based consolidations. By directly comparing ex-post data with consolidation plans, we present evidence of a systematically weaker follow-up of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904377
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House prices and monetary policy in the euro area : evidence from structural VARs
Nocera, Andrea; Roma, Moreno - 2017
policy and the challenges they pose in the process of real and nominal convergence in the Eurozone. Among the main results …, we find a comparatively stronger housing wealth effect on consumption in Ireland and Spain. We provide new evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659335
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The impact of constrained monetary policy on the fiscal multipliers on output and inflation
Bletzinger, Tilman; Lalik, Magdalena - 2017
This paper uses two established DSGE models (QUEST III and Smets-Wouters) to assess the impact of fiscal spending cuts on output and, in particular, also on inflation in the euro area under alternative settings for monetary policy. We compare four different settings of constrained monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637428
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Macroeconomic fluctuations in the United States : the role of monetary and fiscal policy shocks
Dery, Cosmas; Serletis, Apostolos - In: Open economies review 34 (2023) 5, pp. 961-977
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014439842
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Output growth and fluctuation : the role of financial openness
Popov, Alexander - 2011
I analyze output growth, volatility, and skewness as the joint outcomes of financial openness. Using an industry panel of 53 countries over 45 years, I find that financial openness increases simultaneously mean growth and the negative skewness of the growth process. The increase in output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009354652
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The implications of global and domestic credit cycles for emerging market economies : measures of finance-adjusted output gaps
Grintzalis, Ioannis; Lodge, David; Manu, Ana-Simona - 2017
We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637326
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International evidence on sticky consumption growth
Carroll, Chris (contributor); Slacalek, Jirka (contributor);  … - 2008
We estimate the degree of "stickiness" in aggregate consumption growth (sometimes interpreted as reflecting consumption … habits) for thirteen advanced economies. We find that, after controlling for measurement error, consumption growth has a high … degree of autocorrelation, with a stickiness parameter of about 0.7 on average across countries. The sticky-consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778438
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Household's portfolio structure in Germany : analysis of financial accounts data 1959 - 2009
Ramb, Fred; Scharnagl, Michael - 2011
Based on a Financial Almost Ideal Demand System (FAIDS), this paper investigates the wealth structure of German households. The long-run wealth elasticities and interestrate elasticities were calculated using a unique new quarterly financial accounts macrodata set which covers the period from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009159992
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Semi-structural credit gap estimation
Lang, Jan Hannes; Welz, Peter - 2018
This paper proposes a semi-structural approach to identifying excessive household credit developments. Using an overlapping generations model, a normative trend level for the real household credit stock is derived that depends on four fundamental economic factors: real potential GDP, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928898