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The coming US interest rate tightening cycle : smooth sailing or stormy waters?

Arteta, Carlos Ó.; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; … - 2015

report three major findings: First, since the tightening cycle will take place in the context of a robust U.S. economy, it …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389408

Emerging and developing economies : ten years after the global recession

Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2020

, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175348

Global recessions

Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka; Terrones, Marco E. - 2020

The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009 … internationally, with severe economic and financial disruptions in many countries around the world. The 2009 global recession, set off …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230745

Global recessions

Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka; Terrones, Marco E. - 2020

The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009 …, with severe economic and financial disruptions in many countries around the world. The 2009 global recession, set off by …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159612

Emerging and developing economies : ten years after the Global Recession

Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2020

, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229095

Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers

Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020 - This version: February 2020

We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170616