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The coming US interest rate tightening cycle : smooth sailing or stormy waters?
Arteta, Carlos Ó.; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; … - 2015
report three major findings: First, since the tightening cycle will take place in the context of a robust U.S. economy, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389408
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One-stop source: a global database of inflation
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
-based disinflation around the world over the past half-century, with global consumer price inflation down from a peak of roughly 17 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584053
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Inflation during the pandemic: what happened? what is next?
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR) model. We report three main results. First, the decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054
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Global stagflation
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2022
stagflation of the 1970s required steep increases in interest rates by major advanced-economy central banks to quell inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
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From low to high inflation : implications for emerging market and developing economies
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2022
market and developing economy (EMDE) central banks and some advanced-economy central banks to increase interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174851
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Is a global recession imminent?
Guénette, Justin Damien; Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka - 2022
activity and policies and presents plausible scenarios for the global economy in 2022-24. We report three major findings. First … happened recently. Second, the global economy is in the midst of one of the most internationally synchronous episodes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383374
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Understanding the global drivers of inflation : how important are oil prices?
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; … - 2023
typical economy. Oil price shocks accounted for only about 4 percent of inflation variation, but they had a statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488859
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Preludes to the Icelandic Financial Crisis
Aliber, Robert Z. (ed.); Zoega, Gylfi (ed.) - 2011
of Iceland's financial system, about the economy. What did and didn't they see coming, and why? …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053929