Combining consensus forecasts of growth of population and real incomes during 2014-35 with household income surveys for more than a hundred countries accounting for the bulk of the world economy, we project the income distribution in 2035 across all individuals in the world. We find that the...

Intro -- Contents -- I. MOTIVATION AND RELATED STUDIES -- II. OUTPUT DROPS -- III. SHOCKS -- IV. MULTIVARIATE PROBIT ANALYSIS -- V. ROBUSTNESS AND EXTENSIONS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX TABLES AND FIGURES -- APPENDIX I. HODRICK-PRESCOTT-FILTER BASED DEFINITION OF EVENTS -- APPENDIX II. KERNEL...