While output declined in virtually all transition economies in the initial years, the speed and extent of the recovery that followed has varied widely across these countries. The contrast between the more and less successfull transitions, the latter largely in former Soviet Union, raises many...

Intro -- Contents -- I. MOTIVATION AND RELATED STUDIES -- II. OUTPUT DROPS -- III. SHOCKS -- IV. MULTIVARIATE PROBIT ANALYSIS -- V. ROBUSTNESS AND EXTENSIONS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX TABLES AND FIGURES -- APPENDIX I. HODRICK-PRESCOTT-FILTER BASED DEFINITION OF EVENTS -- APPENDIX II. KERNEL...