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Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt : A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey

Samaké, Issouf - 2007

METHODOLOGY -- IV. BRAZIL, 2000-05 -- V. MEXICO -- VI. TURKEY -- VII. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX ECONOMETRIC METHODOLOGY …

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Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries : A "Fan-Chart" Approach

Debrun, Xavier - 2006

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS AND RISK -- III. DEBT DYNAMICS AND THE CONDUCT OF FISCAL POLICY -- IV. RISKS TO DEBT SUSTAINABILITY IN FIVE EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES -- V. CONCLUSION -- Appendix -- REFERENCES.