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This paper develops a simple procedure for incorporating market-based information into the construction of fan charts. Using the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s global growth forecast as a working example, the paper goes through the theoretical and practical considerations of this new...
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This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and financial sectors, both within...
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-- X. LONG-RUN FORECASTING PERFORMANCE FOR G-7 ECONOMIES -- XI. COMPARISON OF WEO AND CONSENSUS FORECASTS -- XII. FORECAST …
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