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Using a new daily index of social unrest, we provide systematic evidence on the negative impact of social unrest on stock market performance. An average social unrest episode in an typical country causes a 1.4 percentage point drop in cumulative abnormal returns over a two-week event window....
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We provide a theory of the limits to monetary policy independence in open economies arising from the interaction between capital flows and domestic collateral constraints. The key feature of our theory is the existence of an 'Expansionary Lower Bound' (ELB), defined as an interest rate threshold...
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Several concepts of contagion are distinguished. It is argued that only models that admit of multiple equilibria are … capable of producing true contagion. A simple balance of payments model is presented to illustrate that phenomenon, and some …
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