Showing 1 - 10 of 403
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974451
This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in emerging markets focusing on non-linearities and asymmetries. We document non-linearities and asymmetries in the transmission of exchange rate fluctuations to prices using local projection techniques to obtain state dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436820
This paper explores the causes and consequences of fiscal dominance over monetary policy in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Fiscal dominance has always been a pressing problem as it can contribute to inflation and macroeconomic instability, and increasingly so as fiscal deficits and public debt are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517915
We argue that in an economy with downward nominal wage rigidity, the output gap is negative on average. Because it is more difficult to cut wages than to increase them, firms reduce employment more during downturns than they increase employment during expansions. This is demonstrated in a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103632
We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw economies as operating below their potential. In real time, output gaps tend to have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103755
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392477
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015050031
Global excess liquidity is sometimes believed to limit sovereign monetary policy even in large economies, including the … euro area. There is much discussion about what constitutes global excess liquidity and our approach adjusts liquidity for … longer-term interest rate and output effects. We find that especially excess liquidity in the U.S. leads developments in euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404266
We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach based on revisions to professional forecasts over the past 30 years for 34 advanced economies. We find that when employment rises unexpectedly, forecasters typically raise their long-term forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775113