Showing 1 - 5 of 5
environment, leading to real-time forecast improvements relative to other methods of density forecast combination, such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950792
This paper develops and illustrates a simple method to generate a DSGE model-based forecast for variables that do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005718736
This paper develops a vector autoregression (VAR) for time series which are observed at mixed frequencies - quarterly and monthly. The model is cast in state-space form and estimated with Bayesian methods under a Minnesota-style prior. We show how to evaluate the marginal data density to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010721189
This paper is the first attempt to directly explore the long-run nonlinear relationship between the shadow economy and level of development. Using a dataset of 158 countries over the period from 1996 to 2015, our results reveal a robust U-shaped relationship between the shadow economy size and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009455
are derived by combining figures from different estimation methods. We describe and discuss the strengths and weaknesses … of the different estimation methods. We find that the growth of the shadow economy—which is now remarkably large in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399609