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International Liquidity : The Fiscal Dimension

Obstfeld, Maurice - 2011

This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461279

Hitchhiker’s guide to inflation in Libya

Cevik, Serhan; Teksoz, Katerina - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726436

EMU : Ready, or Not?

Obstfeld, Maurice - 1999

In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471509

Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation

Auerbach, Alan - 2004

Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short … benefits and facilitate the use of powerful fiscal policy tools even in a liquidity trap. In this paper, we consider an … alternative approach that has been suggested for use in a liquidity trap, a scheduled increase in consumption tax rates. We find …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468404

How to improve inflation targeting in Canada

Obstfeld, Maurice; Clinton, Kevin; Kamenik, Ondra; … - 2016

Routine publication of the forecast path for the policy interest rate (i.e. 'conventional forward guidance') would improve the transparency of monetary policy. It would also improve policy effectiveness through its influence on expectations, particularly when there is a risk of low inflation,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715420

Hitchhiker’s Guide to Inflation in Libya

Cevik, Serhan - 2013

This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the econometric results indicate that government...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395269

Time of Troubles : The Yen and Japan's Economy, 1985-2008

Obstfeld, Maurice - 2009

during the period of Japan's bubble economy and subsequent stagnation. The yen experienced epic gyrations over that period … the price of oil. Since the mid-1990s, the yen's real exchange rate has generally followed a depreciating trend and Japan …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463831

Fiscal consequences of terrorism

Cevik, Serhan; Ricco, John - 2015

This paper provides an empirical analysis of how the frequency and severity of terrorism affect government revenue and expenditure during the period 1970-2013 using a panel dataset on 153 countries. We find that terrorism has only a marginal negative effect on tax revenue performance, after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408259

The Unsustainable US Current Account Position Revisited

Obstfeld, Maurice - 2004

We show that the when one takes into account the global equilibrium ramifications of an unwinding of the US current account deficit, currently estimated at 5.4% of GDP, the potential collapse of the dollar becomes considerably larger--more than 50% larger--than our previous estimates (Obstfeld...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467820

Taking down the wall : transition and inequality

Cevik, Serhan; Correa-Caro, Carolina - 2020

This paper investigates the main determinants of income inequality in transition countries during the period 1990-2018. To this end, we address a major methodological challenge that lies at the core of the cross-country literature on income inequality: the potential endogeneity of income growth,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177606