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Assessing when credit is excessive is important to understand macro-financial vulnerabilities and guide macroprudential policy. The Basel Credit Gap (BCG) - the deviation of the credit-to-GDP ratio from its long-term trend estimated with a one-sided Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter-is the indicator...
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Credit is key to support healthy and sustainable economic growth but excess aggregate credit growth can signal the build-up of imbalances and lead to systemic financial crisis. Hence, monitoring the credit cycle is key to identifying vulnerabilities, particularly in emerging markets, which tend...
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always work best in terms of covering bank loan losses that go beyond what could be expected from economic downturns. Instead …
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that the full risk sharing equilibrium may not require much diversification of equity portfolios when there is price …
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This paper assesses the vulnerability of emerging markets and their banks to aggregate shocks. We find significant … links between banks'' asset quality, credit and macroeconomic aggregates. Lower economic growth, an exchange rate … Financial Stability Report (September 2011) to help evaluate the sensitivity of banks'' capital adequacy ratios to macroeconomic …
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There is a widespread view that bank capital requirements should be loosened during recessions and tightened during … capital requirement policies on the saving decisions of households, and, through this channel, on bank loans and output. We …
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