Showing 1 - 10 of 216
This paper investigates the role of fiscal policies over the aggregate EMU business cycle. Previous studies, based on the assumption of non-separability between public and private consumption, obtain a large public consumption multiplier, a small fraction of non-Ricardian households and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529025
This paper investigates which shocks drive asynchrony of business cycles in the euro area. Thereby, it unites two strands of literature, those on common features and on structural VAR analysis. In particular, we show that the presence of a common cycle implies collinearity of structural impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489953
In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424798
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424697
This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic … environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by … explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396893
inflation and growth, and long-term trends in price levels among the core ERM countries. The evidence suggests that over the …, than the individual national aggregates in predicting nominal aggregates such as inflation and the price level, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396218
using the M3 money supply aggregated across “core ERM” countries- -those with low inflation and absence of realignments- -as … France and Germany separately. Second, the predictive power of the core-ERM aggregate relative to French and German inflation … is examined; it is shown that the aggregate helps to predict German inflation, over and above the predictive power of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398759
This paper discusses the effect of cross-border deposits (CBDs) for the stability of the relation between monetary aggregates and nominal GDP in the five largest EC countries. The analysis is developed in terms of “information content” of alternative money definitions (including or excluding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397926
accountability. We show that a flexible inflation targeting approach that places weight on stabilizing inflation, a measure of … the effects of financial frictions can be ameliorated at little cost in terms of inflation. A range of different financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392579