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The U.S. oil supply revolution and the global economy

Mohaddes, Kamiar; Raissi, Mehdi - 2015

-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model …. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445835

Dating EU15 monthly business cycle jointly using GDP and IPI

Billio, Monica; Caporin, Massimiliano; Cazzavillan, Guido - 2007

This paper aims at the production of a chronology for the EU15 business cycle by comparing parametric and non-parametric procedures on monthly and quarterly data as well in a combined approach. The main innovation is the joint use of the monthly series for the EU15 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003912122

Forecast revisions of Mexican inflation and GDP growth

Capistrán Carmona, Carlos; López-Moctezuma, Gabriel - 2010

We analyze forecasts of inflation and GDP growth contained in Banco de México's Survey of Professional Forecasters for the period 1995-2009. The forecasts are for the current and the following year, comprising an unbalanced three-dimensional panel with multiple individual forecasters, target...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008737163