decouple via 'preferential attachment' - id est by aligning themselves with the hub they trade most with. All global technology … straddle multiple hubs generally lose, whereas those whose trade is heavily concentrated with one hub may gain due to reduced …

general equilibrium (CGE) trade model calibrated to 165 countries. The first scenario estimates effects from potential U … to capture dynamic effects, such as those stemming from trade policy uncertainty. More generally, our results both …