Showing 1 - 10 of 10
Industrial policy is tainted with bad reputation among policymakers and academics and is often viewed as the road to perdition for developing economies. Yet the success of the Asian Miracles with industrial policy stands as an uncomfortable story that many ignore or claim it cannot be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010001
This paper motivates and describes an approach to forecasting and monetary policy analysis based on the use of a simple structural macroeconomic model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. It contrasts this approach with financial programming and its emphasis on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402252
The paper uses MULTIMOD to analyze the macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks, distinguishing between temporary, more persistent, and permanent shocks. It provides perspectives on several findings in the literature and the key role of monetary policy in influencing macroeconomic outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403624
This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399871
We develop a New-Open-Economy-Macro model in which Ricardian equivalence does not hold because of (i) distortionary labor and corporate income taxation; (ii) limited asset market participation; and (iii) because the overlapping-generations structure results in a disconnect between current and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399890
A universal testing and isolation policy is the most viable way to vanquish a pandemic. Its implementation requires: (i) an epidemiological rather than clinical approach to testing, sacrificing accuracy for scalability, convenience and speed; and (ii) state intervention to ramp up production,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252486
inequality are characterized by dynamism-a drive toward sophisticated export industries, innovation, and creative destruction and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517949
We provide an overview of the theories and empricial evidence on the complex relationship among innovation, competition …, and inclusive growth. Competition and innovation-led growth are critical to drive productivity gains and support broad …-based growth. However, new technologies and trends in market concentration are stifling future innovation while contributing to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518975
spillovers on firms is particularly strong in terms of employment and value added …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796292
This paper examines how endogenizing technological progress in a multicountry macroeconometric model affects the analysis of fiscal policies. It uses an expanded version of the IMF’s multicountry model, MULTIMOD, in which total factor productivity (TFP) is endogenized as a function of domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403417