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Central bank balance sheet policies and spillovers to emerging markets

Kumar, Manmohan S.; Wang, Haobin - 2017

We develop a theoretical model that shows that in the near future, the monetary policies of some key central banks in advanced economies (AEs) will have two dimensions-changes in short-term policy rates and balance sheet adjustments. This will affect emerging market economies (EMs), especially...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705338

Emerging Equity Markets in Middle Eastern Countries

El-Erian, Mohamed A. - 1994

Within a broad framework for analyzing portfolio capital flows to developing countries, the paper undertakes a comparative analysis of equity markets in six Middle Eastern countries. The analysis, based primarily on a range of quantitative indicators, identifies the principal characteristics of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398001

Emerging market sovereign bond spreads : estimation and back-testing

Comelli, Fabio - 2012

We estimate sovereign bond spreads of 28 emerging economies over the period January 1998-December 2011 and test the ability of the model in generating accurate in-sample predictions for emerging economies bond spreads. The impact and significance of country-specific and global explanatory...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621639

Comparing parametric and non-parametric early warning systems for currency crises in emerging market economies

Comelli, Fabio - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009757323

Comparing the performance of logit and probit early warning systems for currency crises in emerging market economies

Comelli, Fabio - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360011

Fiscal and Monetary Nexus in Emerging Market Economies : How Does Debt Matter?

Vasishtha, Garima - 2006

This paper examines two main aspects of the interaction between fiscal and monetary policy in emerging market economies. First, it explores the interest rate-inflation relationship in economies with different levels of external and domestic public debt using panel- and crosssection data. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402491

Public Debt and Growth

Woo, Jaejoon - 2010

This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402858

Policy Credibility and Sovereign Credit : The Case of New EU Member States

Kumar, Manmohan S. - 2007

References to policy credibility, particularly with regard to fiscal policy, are ubiquitous in both economic literature and financial markets, even though it is not directly observable. The case of the EU new member states (NMS)-emerging markets joining a supranational entity that is generally...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403003

Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes

Perraudin, W. R. M. - 2002

This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403638

Fatal Attraction : A New Measure of Contagion

Bayoumi, Tamim - 2003

This paper proposes a new measure of contagion that is good at anticipating future vulnerabilities. Building on … previous work, it uses correlations of equity markets across countries to measure contagion, but in a departure from previous … practice it measures contagion using the relationship of these correlations with distance. Also in contrast to previous work …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403655