Showing 1 - 10 of 13
We develop a theoretical model that shows that in the near future, the monetary policies of some key central banks in advanced economies (AEs) will have two dimensions-changes in short-term policy rates and balance sheet adjustments. This will affect emerging market economies (EMs), especially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705338
Within a broad framework for analyzing portfolio capital flows to developing countries, the paper undertakes a comparative analysis of equity markets in six Middle Eastern countries. The analysis, based primarily on a range of quantitative indicators, identifies the principal characteristics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398001
This paper studies the correlation between output growth and lagged stock returns in a panel of emerging market economies and advanced economies. It finds that the correlation is as strong in emerging market economies as in advanced economies. Asset prices therefore contain valuable information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399803
This paper analyzes yield spreads on sovereign debt issued by emerging markets using modern data from the 1990s and newly-collected historical data on debt traded in London during 1870–1913, a previous “golden era” for international capital market integration. Applying several empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403800
What are the constraints that have stalled EMs efforts to reuse their securities in international financial centers? We discuss the economics of collateral re-use and the present institutional structure in Asian and Latin American countries. Our empirical investigation suggests pledgeability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604765
This paper examines two main aspects of the interaction between fiscal and monetary policy in emerging market economies. First, it explores the interest rate-inflation relationship in economies with different levels of external and domestic public debt using panel- and crosssection data. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402491
This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402858
References to policy credibility, particularly with regard to fiscal policy, are ubiquitous in both economic literature and financial markets, even though it is not directly observable. The case of the EU new member states (NMS)-emerging markets joining a supranational entity that is generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403003
This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403638
This paper proposes a new measure of contagion that is good at anticipating future vulnerabilities. Building on … previous work, it uses correlations of equity markets across countries to measure contagion, but in a departure from previous … practice it measures contagion using the relationship of these correlations with distance. Also in contrast to previous work …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403655