Similar Search Results

Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis

Clinton, Kevin - 2009

We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and … affects the United States. To calculate confidence intervals that respect the zero interest rate floor, we employ Latin … hypercube sampling. Derived confidence bands suggest non-negligible risks that U.S. interest rates might stay near zero for an …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402370

Financial Development, Financial Fragility, and Growth

Loayza, Norman - 2005

This paper studies the apparent contradictions between two strands of the literature on the effects of financial intermediation on economic activity. On the one hand, the empirical growth literature finds a positive effect of financial depth as measured by, for instance, private domestic credit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404211

"Leaning against the wind" and the timing of monetary policy

Agur, Itai; Demertzis, Maria - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009747249

The COVID-19 impact on corporate leverage and financial fragility

Haque, Sharjil Muktafi; Varghese, Richard - 2021

We study the impact of the COVID-19 recession on capital structure of publicly listed U.S. firms. Our estimates suggest leverage (Net Debt/Asset) decreased by 5.3 percentage points from the pre-shock mean of 19.6 percent, while debt maturity increased moderately. This de-leveraging effect is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796218

Robust optimal macroprudential policy

Montamat, Giselle; Roch, Francisco - 2021

We consider how fear of model misspecification on the part of the planner and/or the households affects welfare gains from optimal macroprudential taxes in an economy with occasionally binding collateral constraints as in Bianchi (2011). On the one hand, there exist welfare gains from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518751

Credit reversals

Vázquez, Francisco - 2021

--on average, they occur every five years. By comparison, banking crises take place every eight years on average. Credit reversals …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604801

A quantitative microfounded model for the integrated policy framework

Adrian, Tobias; Erceg, Christopher J.; Kolasa, Marcin; … - 2021

We develop a microfounded New Keynesian model to analyze monetary policy and financial stability issues in open economies with financial fragilities and weakly anchored inflation expectations. We show that foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and capital flow management tools (CFMs) can improve...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794931

Investor information and bank instability during the European debt crisis

Iorgova, Silvia; Ross, Chase P. - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487211

Bank lobbying : regulatory capture and beyond

Igan, Deniz; Lambert, Thomas - 2019

In this paper, we discuss whether and how bank lobbying can lead to regulatory capture and have real consequences through an overview of the motivations behind bank lobbying and of recent empirical evidence on the subject. Overall, the findings are consistent with regulatory capture, which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103556

Optimal macroprudential policy and asset price bubbles

Biljanovska, Nina; Górnicka, Lucyna; Vardoulakis, … - 2019

An asset bubble relaxes collateral constraints and increases borrowing by credit-constrained agents. At the same time, as the bubble deflates when constraints start binding, it amplifies downturns. We show analytically and quantitatively that the macroprudential policy should optimally respond...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103635