Showing 1 - 10 of 26
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667415
The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190
This paper argues that the sharp increase in unemployment in a number of advanced countries during the Great Recession … this had on labor productivity also played a role. In many countries, post-2007 employment losses were modest, as real … was large-scale labor shedding, which boosted labor productivity but also contributed to a sharp rise in unemployment. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408256
growth patterns shows that regime changes are quite common in both economic growth and employment growth, yet they are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011763747
sources of annual earnings growth: changes in employment time (number of weeks of employment within a year) and changes in … weekly earnings. Changes in employment time generate the tails of the earnings growth distribution, and account for the … risk, should separately account for the employment margin in their earnings process to avoid erroneous conclusions. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852672
.S. manufacturing industry, and it finds evidence of asymmetry. Tight policy increases job destruction and reduces net employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400386
Heightened uncertainty since the onset of the Great Recession has materially increased saving rates, contributing to lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a panel of advanced economies that greater labor income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396946
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572544
Empirical evidence shows that fiscal multipliers depend on the state of the cycle, the nature of fiscal policy and the level of debt. In other words, evidence points to non-linearities in the effects of fiscal policy. This paper provides a framework to examine the role of the level of government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392585
This paper studies the dynamics of external accounts during 278 economic recession events in the past 60 years and sheds light on key factors that shape these patterns. Economic recessions trigger highly-persistent increases in the current account, driven by an initial, sharp decline in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605536