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Several concepts of contagion are distinguished. It is argued that only models that admit of multiple equilibria are … capable of producing true contagion. A simple balance of payments model is presented to illustrate that phenomenon, and some …
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This paper documents the expanding economic linkages between low-income countries (LICs) and a narrow group of ""Emerging Market leaders"" that have become major players in regional and global trade and financial flows. VAR models show that these linkages have increased the share of growth...
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This paper presents a new theory of asset pricing intended to address why other developing country equity markets responded so strongly to the Mexican devaluation, while the world’s major stock markets were unmoved. This phenomenon can be explained if investors follow a two-step portfolio...
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