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How did expectations of the outcome of the United Kingdom's (UK) referendum on European Union (EU) membership in 2016 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517941
had a considerable and statistically significant negative impact on firm investment in the UK after the referendum. At the … same time, the post-referendum sterling depreciation has likely contributed positively to investment expenditure by more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978381
An influential strand of recent research has claimed that large governments in European countries explain their weaker long-term economic performance compared to the U.S. On the other hand, despite these alleged costs, large governments have been popular with electorates. This paper seeks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403080
Populists claim to be the only legitimate representative of the people. Does it mean that there is no space for civil society? The issue is important because since Tocqueville (1835), associations and civil society have been recognized as a key factor in a healthy liberal democracy. We ask two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978365
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726551
Achieving France's medium-term fiscal targets will require significant expenditure efforts. This paper identifies areas where there is scope for increasing expenditure efficiency, with a view to achieving higher quality and more sustainable fiscal consolidation. The methodology is based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436803
We compute government spending multipliers for the Euro Area (EA) contingent on the interestgrowth differential, the so-called r-g. Whether the fiscal shock occurs when r-g is positive or negative matters for the size of the multiplier. Median estimates vary conditional on the specification, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518304
We build a factor-augmented interacted panel vector-autoregressive model of the Euro Area (EA) and estimate it with Bayesian methods to compute government spending multipliers. The multipliers are contingent on the overall monetary policy stance, captured by a shadow monetary policy rate. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102056
Despite intense calls for safeguarding public investment in Europe, public investment expenditure, when measured in relation to GDP, has steadily fallen in the last three decades, evoking fears that economic activity may be correspondingly negatively affected. At the same time, however, public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400220