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The sheer size of mandated trade among members of the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA), and its composition and quality, means that its reorientation toward other markets entails a whole complex of structural adjustment policies. To be successful, policy reform must be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396289
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359854
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evidence of NDFs leading onshore markets for a few currencies. Policy approaches to NDFs vary widely across Asia from close …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301975
The abruptness and virulence of the 1997 Asian crises have led many to claim that these crises are of a new breed and were thus unforecastable. This paper examines 102 financial crises in 20 countries and concludes that the Asian crises are not of a new variety. Overall, the 1997 Asian crises,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400095
Asia proved to be remarkably resilient in the face of the global financial crisis, but why was its output performance … vulnerabilities—contributed significantly to Asia’s resilience. Key pre-crisis factors included moderate credit expansion, reliance on … financial crisis. Looking ahead, Asia is in the process of adjusting to more volatile external conditions and higher risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411153
Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707567
Based on an empirical gravity model of sectoral bilateral trade, we uncover three features of bilateral trade balances. First, the difficulty of gravity models in fitting the observed level of bilateral balances is likely due to the presence of unobservable bilateral trade costs. Second, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391997
This paper studies the potential long-term effects of three illustrative scenarios using a multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) trade model calibrated to 165 countries. The first scenario estimates effects from potential U.S. auto tariffs. The second analyzes a 'transactional deal'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102091
Over the last two decades, world trade and production have become increasingly organized around global value chains (GVC). Recent theoretical work has shown that countries can benefit from participation in GVCs through multiple channels. However, little is known empirically about the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001583