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Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overlapping generations model where countries differ in their population growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978549
This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978553
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796753
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demographic groups, although the age-profile of savings has an unusual U-shaped pattern, with saving rates being the highest among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401821
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … decades, individual countries’ convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395270
This paper develops and tests a model of Japan’s household savings rate, based on the life-cycle hypothesis that the … primary motive for savings is provision for retirement. The paper shows that Japan’s high household savings rate in recent … improvements in public pension benefits and the aging of the population. It projects that the savings rate will decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395990
We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply in self-insurance channels over … social security benefits for the period 1995-2009. We find that both savings and the labor supply are quantitatively … adjustment to savings and labor supply have significant macroeconomic implications. Applying the model to China, we find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009609
the elderly. This study suggests that these demographic trends may lead to a decline in the G-7 private savings rate after … 2000, compounding the impact of social expenditure pressures on the government’s deficit. Moreover, public pensions may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396157
The Netherlands has been operating fully funded, defined benefit second pillar pension schemes that have consistently ranked high worldwide for delivering high replacement rates while featuring strong solidarity among members. Yet the long-term sustainability of the Dutch pension funds has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001594