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unemployment, including the sharp rise in U.S. long-term unemployment during the Great Recession of 2007-09. About 75% of the … forecast error variance of unemployment is accounted for by cyclical factors-real GDP changes (?Okun‘s Law?), monetary and … dispersion of industry-level stock returns, account for the remaining 25 percent. For U.S. long-term unemployment the split …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399411
.C from 1991 to 2008, we present econometric evidence that supports that changes in state-level unemployment rates are linked … causality going from mismatches and housing conditions to unemployment rates. The numerical estimates imply that the structural … unemployment rate in 2010 was about 13⁄4 percentage points higher than before the onset of the housing market meltdown at end-2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399412
While the unemployment rate in the Baltics has fallen sharply from its crisis-peaks, it remains close to double digits …. Our main findings are that the current still elevated levels of unemployment mostly reflect structural factors. We then … turn to why structural unemployment is so high. This paper points to skill mismatches, high tax wedges, and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411437
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425641
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425642
This paper combines both micro and macro approaches to identify the drivers of (un)employment and inactivity in … unemployment. High unemployment of young and low-skilled workers reflects substantial unemployment traps, while disincentives for … (respectively seniors). Further reduction of structural unemployment requires better integration of vulnerable groups into the labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154712
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400528
This paper examines the endogeneity of several structural variables which enter unemployment rate equations …—the generosity of unemployment benefits, nonwage labor costs, the relative minimum wage, and the degree of unionization. It finds … evidence of reverse causality for these structural variables based on causality tests. The structural unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396024
. The estimates suggest that non-cyclical factors account for at least half of the decline of the unemployment rate during … the period between 2004-Q1, when unemployment peaked at 10.9 percent, and 2011-Q4, when it marked a trough at 5.4 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281940