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currency by keeping inflation low and steady. This paper provides evidence that monetary policy tightening aimed at maintaining … low and stable inflation could at the same time reduce consumption inequality over a 12-18 month horizon, commonly … benefit mainly from lower inflation. By contrast, the real consumption of individuals at higher ends of the consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518926
Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a … standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155038
Inflation forecasts are modelled as monotonically diverging from an estimated long-run anchor point, or 'implicit … anchor', towards actual inflation as the forecast horizon shortens. Fitting the model with forecasts by analysts, businesses … and trade unions for South Africa, we find that inflation expectations have become increasingly strongly anchored. That is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905874
This empirical study for South Africa indicates that there exists a stable money demand type of relationship among domestic prices, broad money, real income, and interest rates, as well as a long-run relationship among domestic prices, foreign prices, and the nominal exchange rate. In the short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400968
When faced with a relative price shock, monetary authorities often aim to contain its second round effects on inflation … while accepting first round effects. We analyze the experience of South Africa and other inflation targeters to explore … whether and when this policy prescription implies changing the monetary policy stance. Inflation targeting central banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401982
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486234
This paper applies a state-space approach to estimate the implicit inflation target of the South African Reserve Bank … (SARB) since the adoption of the Inflation Targeting (IT) framework. The paper's findings are two. First, although the … official inflation target range is 3.6 percent, in practice, the SARB seems to have aimed for the upper segment of the band (41 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621000
Despite a substantial and prolonged exchange rate depreciation, South Africa's export performance has disappointed since the global financial crisis. In this paper we focus on the role of structural factors in reducing the responsiveness of South African exports to the real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435831
nominal interest rates more than proportionally to inflation. Nevertheless, steep deviations from the Taylor Rule have taken … found for Brazil. More surprisingly, they are smaller than South Africa's, the continent's sole long-term inflation targeter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445839
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479456