on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes strong evidence of Granger …

-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice …

predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … inflation …

This paper examines the relative importance of monetary growth and exchange rate depreciation as causes of inflation in … autoregression (VAR) analysis suggest that both monetary expansion and exchange rate adjustments cause inflation in a number of these … countries. However, the failure of the tests to attribute the bulk of the variance in inflation in most of the countries to …

any austere effects; low inflation reinforces, rather than counteracts, the income-equalizing effect of fiscal …

We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …