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This paper examines the link between capital stock and unemployment persistence. An overlapping-generations model with … endogenous labor supply and imperfect competition is presented. It is used to interpret the unusual persistence of unemployment …, unemployment continues to be very high. The paper argues that an important part of the explanation lies in the decline of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400752
We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw economies as operating below their potential. In real time, output gaps tend to have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103755
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281619
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359862
unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates in a downside scenario, how low potential growth and crisis legacies leave the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436794
of these estimates is the measure of labor market slack. The traditional measure of unemployment in Korea yields an … rather than registering as unemployed. This paper discusses a way in which the measure of unemployment can be broadened to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102193
an equilibrium natural rate of unemployment, which is estimated to have been 3-4 percent in the 1980s, and a quasi …-equilibrium unemployment rate closer to actual rates of 7-8 percent. Corresponding to these two concepts of equilibrium unemployment, estimates … the quasi-equilibrium rate of unemployment or with the natural rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395899
The methodology used in this paper has three distinguishing features: the natural rate of unemployment and potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396053
data series including inflation, actual output, unemployment and capacity utilization. The estimation results suggest that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411195
Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412027