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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479415
The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition … over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404250
This paper examines the effects of demographic dynamics on the measured rates of economic growth. First, it develops a model of production with labor productivity that varies with age. Second, it uses macroeconomic and demographic data to estimate the relative productivity of different age...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395876
Yes, partly. This paper studies the potential role of structural reforms in improving Japan's outlook using the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) with newly-added demographic features. Implementation of a not-fully-believed path of structural reforms can significantly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978382
Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overlapping generations model where countries differ in their population growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978549
This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978553
China's high national savings rate-one of the highest in the world-is at the heart of its external/internal imbalances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978615
This paper documents recent labor market performance in the Latin American region. The paper shows that unemployment, informality, and inequality have been falling over the past two decades, though still remain high. By contrast, productivity has remained stubbornly low. The paper, then, turns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102140
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441745
Digital connectivity, including through the modern cellular network technologies, is expected to play a key role for the Future of Work in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We estimate the cost of introducing a full-scale 4G network by 2025 in SSA and an operable 5G network by 2040. We adapt the costing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154757