Showing 1 - 10 of 1,530
This paper examines the link between capital stock and unemployment persistence. An overlapping-generations model with … endogenous labor supply and imperfect competition is presented. It is used to interpret the unusual persistence of unemployment …, unemployment continues to be very high. The paper argues that an important part of the explanation lies in the decline of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400752
Raising South Africa's low employment rate to levels seen in emerging market or advanced economy peers could raise GDP per capita by 50 to 60 percent and reduce income inequality dramatically in the long term. By putting further strain on an already fragile labor market, Covid-19 has raised the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612327
Unemployment has remained high in the Philippines, at almost twice the level of neighboring countries, despite … relatively fast employment growth in the past decade. Employment growth was not sufficient to reduce unemployment because of … unemployment declines were positively correlated with real GDP growth and, to a lesser extent, negatively with the real minimum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400059
We compare the long-term output and current account effects of pension reforms that increase the retirement age with those of reforms that cut pension benefits, conditional on reforms achieving similar fiscal targets. We show the presence of a policy trade-off. Pension reforms that increase the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671560
Several European countries are currently considering reversing parts of their pension reforms that were adopted previously to improve sustainability. In this paper we present a framework that allows us to quantify the macroeconomic and fiscal costs of such reversals. We thereby integrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299350
The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) is the claim that, in a popular class of theoretical models, the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012112131
As of 2015, U.S. log output per capita was 12 percent below what its pre-2008 linear trend would predict. To understand why, I develop and estimate a model of the US with demographics, real and monetary shocks, and the occasionally binding ZLB on nominal rates. Demographic changes generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848197
This paper provides a quantitative evaluation of the intracohort redistributive elements of the U.S. social security system in the context of a computable general equilibrium model. It determines how the well-being of individuals that differ by gender, race, and education is affected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400168
This paper addresses the potential effects on human capital accumulation and economic growth of the alternative compositions of public expenditures in the context of a computable dynamic general equilibrium model of overlapping generations and heterogeneous agents in which altruistic parents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400202
This paper examines whether there is a case for temporary but persistent fiscal surpluses in economies heavily endowed with nonrenewable resources. It finds that there generally is a case. Fiscal surpluses permit replacing nonfinancial wealth with financial assets, the return on which increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400296