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This paper outlines a simple three-country macroeconomic model designed to focus on the transmission of external shocks to Portugal. Building on the framework developed by Berg et al (2006), this model differentiates between shocks originating from both inside and outside the euro area, as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155055
lead to unemployment surges, as firms are forced to cut costs when financing becomes expensive or is no longer available …. As a result, all countries with risk premium shocks saw unemployment surge, even as euro area core countries managed to … contain unemployment as firms hoarded labor during the downturn. Most striking, wage bills in euro area crisis countries and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009587
but have limited effects on overall poverty, as many poor households do not earn a wage near MW and higher unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251363
The aim of this paper is to assess the effectiveness of risk sharing mechanisms in the euro area and whether a supranational fiscal risk sharing mechanism could insure countries against very severe downturns. Using an unbalanced panel of 15 euro area countries over the period 1979-2010, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394634
unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates in a downside scenario, how low potential growth and crisis legacies leave the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436794
unemployment or faster growth. Weak output growth after such a cost shock is somewhat puzzling and has led some to question the … structurally slower real wage growth, that is, ""wage moderation,"" does raise output growth and lower unemployment rates. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404198
Raising South Africa's low employment rate to levels seen in emerging market or advanced economy peers could raise GDP per capita by 50 to 60 percent and reduce income inequality dramatically in the long term. By putting further strain on an already fragile labor market, Covid-19 has raised the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612327
unemployment by about 2.2 pp after five years. If sequencing is required, starting with PMRs would be more effective in boosting … output, while starting with LMRs would reduce unemployment faster. Finally, increasing unemployment benefits would be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012122485
We compute government spending multipliers for the Euro Area (EA) contingent on the interestgrowth differential, the so-called r-g. Whether the fiscal shock occurs when r-g is positive or negative matters for the size of the multiplier. Median estimates vary conditional on the specification, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518304
This paper argues that in the European Union (EU) deposit insurance funds are too difficult to use in bank resolution and too easy to use outside resolution. The paper proposes reforms in three areas for the effective management of bank failures of small and medium-sized banks in the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170606