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simulations of natural disasters and various insurance options, we find that sovereign decisions on optimal risk transfer involve … ex-ante preparedness is needed to manage the risks. The paper discusses sovereign experience with disaster insurance as a … key instrument to mitigate the risks; proposes ways to judge the adequacy of insurance; and considers ways to enhance its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170086
invest prudently and so reduce bank risk taking. This systemic insurance effect will be relatively more important when …We revisit the link between bailouts and bank risk taking. The expectation of government support to failing banks … creates moral hazard—increases bank risk taking. However, when a bank’s success depends on both its effort and the overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394541
increased moderately. This de-leveraging effect is stronger for firms exposed to significant rollover risk, while firms whose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796218
We analyze how concerns for model misspecification on the part of international lenders affect the desirability of issuing state-contingent debt instruments in a standard sovereign default model a la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). We show that for the commonly used threshold state-contingent bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518920
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487171
develop a macro-financial structural model with two novel features. First, we include idiosyncratic and aggregate risk in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391995
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … their conditional distributions. In particular, the model matches the key stylized facts of growth at risk. Accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
This paper outlines an approach to assess uncertainty around a forecast baseline as well as the impact of alternative policy rules on macro variability. The approach allows for non-Gaussian shock distributions and non-linear underlying macroeconomic models. Consequently, the resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251371
sectors via the destruction of capital stocks and jumps in risk premia. These disruptions often entail negative feedback e … explore this causal nexus and the e?ects of rare large disasters resulting in capital losses and rising risk premia. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102117