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We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism, to support the joint analysis of monetary and macroprudential policy. This state dependent conditional heteroskedasticity mechanism specifies the conditional variances of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
This paper investigates the consequences of exchange rate volatility on the variability of export prices and quantities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400392
This paper investigates the relationship between the nominal exchange rate regime and the volatility of relative … for primary commodities, the volatility of relative commodity prices rises when exchange rate uncertainty increases. If …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401290
for the period 1970–92. Simulation results indicate that the observed volatility of multilateral real exchange rates for … the United States, Germany and Japan is not inconsistent with exchange rate volatility implied by consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397963
The aim of this paper is to evaluate the welfare gains from financial integration for developing and emerging market economies. To do so, we build a stochastic endogenous growth model for a small open economy that can (i) borrow from the rest of the world, (ii) invest in foreign assets, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399779
fluctuations in real commodity prices. Increased exchange rate volatility calls for a better understanding of these relations. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398636
This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for … commodity-exporting countries. The introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances domestic welfare … through two channels. First, by reducing export income volatility and allowing for a smoother consumption path. Second, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402269
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422676
We examine the effects of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) events in the United States on asset price risk using risk-neutral density functions estimated from options prices. Based on an event study including a key exchange rate, an equity index, and five commodities, we find that “tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667510
secular trend and the short run volatility. To do so, we employ 25 series, some of them starting as far back as 1650 and … investigating the dynamics of the volatility of the 25 relative primary commodity prices also allowing for endogenous multiple … breaks. We describe the often time-varying volatility in commodity prices and show that it has increased in recent years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667514