-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …

among inflation, unemployment, wage growth, and output fluctuations. At the industry level, the paper compares the …

This paper simulates out-of-sample inflation forecasting for Germany, the UK, and the US. In contrast to other studies … that Phillips curves based on ex post output gaps generally improve the accuracy of inflation forecasts compared to an AR(1 …) forecast but that real-time output gaps often do not help forecasting inflation. This raises the question how operationally …

factors argued to explain the differences in the trends in core inflation and relative prices in the United Kingdom, the Euro …

This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic … environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by … explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis …

between the nominal interest rate and inflation in the postwar period in the five major industrial countries, utilizing … rate and the inflation rate as between the two groups of countries are reflected in the time series properties of the … inflation rates, which are, in turn, partly attributable to the different extent to which monetary authorities accommodated …

We study whether clarity of central bank inflation reports affects return volatility in financial markets. We measure …