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Recent Trade Policies and An Approach to Further Reform in the Baltics, Russia, and Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union
Leidy, Michael P. - 1996
This paper reviews the extent to which the Fund’s trade policy advice to the Baltic countries, Russia and other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396086
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Are capital goods tariffs different?
Meleshchuk, Sergii; Timmer, Yannick - 2020
In this paper we demonstrate the importance of distinguishing capital goods tariffs from other tariffs. Using exposure to a quasi-natural experiment induced by a trade reform in Colombia, we find that firms that have been more exposed to a reduction in intermediate and consumption input or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251365
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In which exchange rate models do forecasters trust?
Hauner, David; Yi, Chae-u; Takizawa, Hajime - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425653
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Fiscal foresight and information flows
Leeper, Eric M.; Walker, Todd B.; Yang, Shu-Chun S. - 2012
News - or foresight - about future economic fundamentals can create rational expectations equilibria with non-fundamental representations that pose substantial challenges to econometric efforts to recover the structural shocks to which economic agents react. Using tax policies as a leading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618558
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External liabilities and crises
Catão, Luis; Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756807
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How external factors affect domestic economy : nowcasting an emerging market
Solmaz, Serhat; Taheri Sanjani, Marzie - 2015
used for 'nowcasting' the output growth. The conditional forecast results illustrate that regular updates of external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445607
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The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology
Phillips, Steven T.; Catão, Luis; Ricci, Luca Antonio; … - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010389823
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Forecasting social unrest : a machine learning approach
Redl, Chris; Hlatshwayo, Sandile - 2021
We produce a social unrest risk index for 125 countries covering a period of 1996 to 2020. The risk of social unrest is based on the probability of unrest in the following year derived from a machine learning model drawing on over 340 indicators covering a wide range of macro-financial,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796240
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Energy transition metals
Boer, Lukas; Pescatori, Andrea; Stuermer, Martin - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796674
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Authorities' fiscal forecasts in Latin America : are they optimistic?
Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij; Ricci, Luca Antonio; Werner, … - 2021
documents of the following years to understand the evolution of fiscal forecast errors. Our findings suggest that: (i) for most … terms of drivers, we show that forecast errors for the fiscal balance-to-GDP ratio are positively correlated with GDP growth … and terms of trade changes and negatively with GDP deflator surprises; (iv) forecast errors for public debt-to-GDP ratios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612338