Showing 1 - 10 of 1,427
This paper analyzes reasons for the high post-war correlations of saving and investment, both across countries and over time. It is concluded that the main reason for the observed high correlations over the recent period is probably government policy
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396226
Using data for a sample of developing and transition countries, this paper estimates the relationship between government spending on health care and education, and social indicators. Unlike previous studies, where social indicators are used as proxies for the unobservable health and education...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399239
Using monthly data for a set of variables, we examine the out-of-sample performance of various variance/covariance models and find that no model has consistently outperformed the others. We also show that it is possible to increase the probability mass toward the tails and to match reasonably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399716
This paper outlines an approach to assess uncertainty around a forecast baseline as well as the impact of alternative policy rules on macro variability. The approach allows for non-Gaussian shock distributions and non-linear underlying macroeconomic models. Consequently, the resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251371
We estimate a variety of exchange rate elasticities of international tourism. We show that, in addition to the … bilateral exchange rate between the tourism origin and destination countries, the exchange rate vis-a-vis the US dollar is also … an important driver of tourism flows and pricing. The effect of US dollar pricing is stronger for tourism destination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170287
per transaction. This theoretic result resembles the current practice in the Netherlands where consumers pay no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403871
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486263
This paper extends recent work by Feldstein and Horioka (1980) and Bayoumi (1990), and examines saving-investment correlations for industrial countries in the post-war period. The focus of the enquiry is on differences observed between EMS and non-EMS countries. It is seen that the EMS countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396141
This paper investigates the empirical characteristics of business cycles and the extent of cyclical comovement in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, using various measures of synchronization for non-hydrocarbon GDP and constituents of aggregate demand during the period 1990-2010. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397084
We argue that firm interdependencies, as measured by correlations of stock returns, provide an indicator of systemic risk potential. We find a positive trend in stock return correlations net of diversification effects for a sample of U.S. Large and Complex Banking Organizations over 1988-99....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399710