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Historically high household debt in several economies is calling for a deleveraging, but according to some economists, this adjustment can slow GDP growth by weighing on consumption. Using a sample of advanced and emerging market economies, this paper finds evidence of a negative relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796301
This paper develops a time series model for aggregate consumption to predict the U.S. personal saving rate. It then uses the model to test whether there has been a structural break in consumption behavior because of the 2008 financial crisis. Before the crisis, the personal saving rate was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866407
This paper studies the main determinants of the sharp decline in Colombia’s private saving rate which accompanied the steep deterioration of the country’s external current account deficit in the 1990s. The paper rejects current arguments pointing to a consumption boom and corporate behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400422
savings and tax revenue data from, it provides compelling and robust empirical evidence of a powerful impact of taxes on … household savings. In particular, income taxes are shown to affect negatively the household saving rate much more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400672
The household saving ratio in France has undergone very sharp changes over the past two decades, falling dramatically in the first part of the 1980s before rising in more recent years. This paper emphasizes two factors in the evolution of private saving in France. The first relates to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395930
This paper develops and tests a model of Japan’s household savings rate, based on the life-cycle hypothesis that the … primary motive for savings is provision for retirement. The paper shows that Japan’s high household savings rate in recent … improvements in public pension benefits and the aging of the population. It projects that the savings rate will decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395990
This paper studies the effects that borrowing constraints have on savings and growth and argues that, though they … increase savings, their effect on growth is ambiguous. Empirical evidence on the extent of borrowing constraints as well as … savings, investment, human capital accumulation and growth performance for industrialized countries is presented. A simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398466
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572504
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422578
converge towards lower equilibrium real interest rates if domestic savings increase to the level of other emerging market … countries. The effect is particularly pronounced if the increase in domestic savings is achieved through higher levels of public … savings. Still, econometric results suggest that, controlling for everything else in the model, real interest rates in Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396962