Showing 1 - 10 of 1,446
How does a commodity market adjust to a temporary scarcity shock which causes a shift in the slope of the futures price curve? We find long-run relationships between spot and futures prices, inventories and interest rates, which means that such shocks lead to an adjustment back towards a stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397573
and losses of income associated with changes in world prices-as well as additional country-specific series, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001593
multi-country model, with world market clearing, which incorporates speculative and non-speculative demands for inventories … matters, and that supply and demand elasticities are important in determining the commodity price in world markets above and … beyond the size of the share of those commodities in world trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398636
The paper uses an event study methodology to investigate which and how macroeconomic announcements affect commodity prices. Results show that gold is unique among commodities, with prices reacting to specific scheduled announcements in the United States and the Euro area (such as indicators of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402640
This paper examines the historical effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle on world prices and … economic activity. The analysis indicates that ENSO has economically-important and statistically-significant effects on world … inflation movements over the past several years. ENSO also has some explanatory power for world consumer price inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403435
effect on commodity prices. China’s impact on world commodity markets is rising but, perhaps surprisingly, remains smaller … be more persistent and have larger effects on the rest of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396561
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615208
severe terms of trade shock associated with a sharp fall in world commodity prices have raised anew questions about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604807
On the basis of a comparative study of 23 episodes involving commodity price shocks we find that both the public and private sectors typically save around half of a windfall gain resulting from a price rise. We argue that private windfalls should be left with the private sector rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398201
Commodity prices may be a leading indicator of inflation, because of the relative importance of flexible auction markets for the determination of these prices. Empirical tests using data for the large industrial countries as a group suggest that changes in commodity prices tend to lead those in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396014