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Using a new daily index of social unrest, we provide systematic evidence on the negative impact of social unrest on stock market performance. An average social unrest episode in an typical country causes a 1.4 percentage point drop in cumulative abnormal returns over a two-week event window....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518928
The COVID-19 pandemic prompted unprecedented economic stimulus worldwide. We empirically examine the impact of a withdrawal of fiscal stimulus policies on the stock markets. After constructing a database of withdrawal events, we use event study analysis and cross-country regressions to assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486103
Using daily data for the January 1997 to June 2002 period, we analyze the impact of a broad set of macroeconomic news on stock prices in the United States and Germany. With GARCH specifications we test five hypotheses and find that news on real economic activity has a significant impact on stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399615
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615321
This paper analyses the effect of asset prices on credit growth in France and tries to disentangle credit demand and … period, but without credit supply factors being singled out. By contrast, housing price growth has a significant effect … during periods of financial instability only, even after controlling for credit demand effects. These results show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396650
This note examines the impact of measurable and unmeasurable (not correlated with observed aggregates) information on secondary market LDC loan prices. The Institutional Investor country risk ratings are used to construct a proxy for the non-quantifiable information that moves debt market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398406
This paper proposes and solves a search model in which job separation requires mandatory notice. When jobs are subject to idiosyncratic uncertainty, firms would issue advance notice even with good business conditions. We show that such precautionary policy is not pursued if it entails...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400716
Is the stock market responsive to macroeconomic news? This paper employs the daily returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Index, the S&P 500 index, the Russell 1000 index, and the Russell 2000 index to examine stock market reactions to a broad list of macroeconomic announcements, including money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401312
This paper studies episodes in which aggregate bank credit contracts alongside expanding economic activity-credit …--on average, they occur every five years. By comparison, banking crises take place every eight years on average. Credit reversals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604801
Credit spreads rise after a monetary policy tightening, yet spread reactions are heterogeneous across firms. Exploiting … with high leverage experience a more pronounced increase in credit spreads than firms with low leverage. A large fraction … of this increase is due to a component of credit spreads that is in excess of firms' expected default. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485947