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levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and … renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251398
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388661
multipliers, hysteresis effects, and endogenous financing costs. In addition to informing macro projections, the framework can …. The case for more gradual or back-loaded adjustment is strongest when hysteresis effects are in play, but it needs to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667516
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418077
we interpret as reflecting hysteresis with a financial twist, in which the financial system causes aggregate supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716715
) to incorporate labor market hysteresis. This extension captures the idea that long and deep recessions (expansions) cause … financial crisis, compared to estimates without hysteresis. The smaller output gaps partly explain the absence of persistent …, hysteresis is expected to result in a structural improvement in growth and employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009370
-term effects on expected employment and labor force participation, suggesting positive hysteresis. Our forecast evaluation tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022008
While there is growing evidence of persistent or even permanent output losses from financial crises, the causes remain unclear. One candidate is intangible capital - a rising driver of economic growth that, being non-pledgeable as collateral, is vulnerable to financial frictions. By sheltering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170156
value of GDP via the fiscal stance’s effects on the output gap and hysteresis. We find that the absolute size of the fiscal … boost the present value of GDP via effects on the output gap and hysteresis. The potential success of such efforts relies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281931
This paper deals with hysteresis in the desired equilibrium exchange rate (DEER) arising from misalignment. When the … formal expression for this hysteresis effect in the DEER, studies the convergence properties of a system in which the …. Finally, the paper derives and applies rules of thumb for computing the hysteresis effect when considering the rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396472