This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent … with Okun’s Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun … coefficient—the responsiveness of unemployment to growth—from forecasts is fairly similar to that in the data for various …

The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …

This paper asks how well Okun’s Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate—varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features …

unemployment by about 2.2 pp after five years. If sequencing is required, starting with PMRs would be more effective in boosting … output, while starting with LMRs would reduce unemployment faster. Finally, increasing unemployment benefits would be more …

This paper discusses the influence of economic growth on the equilibrium unemployment rate (NAIRU). It examines how …