Showing 1 - 10 of 1,514
Price index compilers frequently face situations where price observations are missing due to seasonal unavailability … indices. This paper presents statistical imputation techniques that index compilers can use to prevent bias and suggests the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400856
This paper constructs a new measure of currency mismatch in the banking sector that controls for bank lending to unhedged borrowers. This measure explicitly takes into account the indirect exchange rate risk that banks undertake when they lend to borrowers that will not be able to repay in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402704
Index number theory informs us that if data on matched prices and quantities are available, a superlative index number … formula is best to aggregate heterogeneous items, and a unit value index to aggregate homogeneous ones. The formulas can give … as to why such formulas differ and proposes a solution to this index number problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404313
Corruption, particularly political or “grand” corruption, distorts the entire decision-making process connected with public investment projects. The degree of distortions is higher with weaker auditing institutions. The evidence presented shows that higher corruption is associated with (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401205
When a formerly centrally-planned economy frees prices and allows or compels producers to respond to market signals, conventional measures tend to severely overstate short–run output decline and inflation. In part the overstatement stems from neglect of private sector activity, or from belated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398096
This paper assesses sustainable fiscal behavior in an economy where wealth is derived predominantly from a non-renewable resource. It explores the issue in a simple dynamic framework that highlights the structural weaknesses in the underlying budgetary position, takes into account the rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400777
We investigate the impact of remittances on public debt sustainability and detail how the traditional debt-to-GDP ratio can be modified to create a more accurate representation of debt sustainability for a country that receives significant remittance inflows. The main result is that inclusion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402461
Unlike conventional fiscal sustainability assessments, the Value-at-Risk approach developed in this paper explicitly captures the contribution of key risk variables to public sector vulnerability. In an illustrative application to Ecuador, the VaR approach confirms a significant risk of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403838
This paper introduces the Asset and Liability Management (ALM) compound option model. The model builds on the observation that the public sector net worth in a multi-period setting corresponds to the value of an option on an option on total government assets. Hence, the ALM compound option model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404316
The main purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of approaches to assessing fiscal sustainability. It summarizes the general analytical background, focusing on the present value budget constraint, which is the benchmark against which solvency is determined, tests of sustainability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399921