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This paper applies the maximum likelihood panel cointegration method of Larsson and Lyhagen (2007) to test the strong … contrasted to those from the Pedroni (1995) cointegration tests and fully modified OLS and dynamic OLS esimators of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401245
This paper analyzes the empirical relationship between fiscal policy and the trade account. Research prior to this paper did not consider that the components of private and public demand in the import demand equation exhibit different elasticities. Using pooled mean group estimation for annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402247
This paper examines the usefulness of asset prices in predicting recessions in the G-7 countries. It finds that asset price drops are significantly associated with the beginning of a recession in these countries. In particular, the marginal effect of an equity/house price drop on the likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667489
This paper constructs new indicators of liquidity for equity, bond and money markets in major advanced and emerging market countries, documents their evolution and comovements, and assesses the extent to which such measures are determinants of selected spreads and proxy measures of countries''...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404263
In this paper, we derive evidence on the integration of international stock markets from the cointegration properties … of international stock market prices. Using the multivariate cointegration test of Johansen, we find that the set of six … subgroup analyses also indicate that the cointegration relationships have become stronger over time. This is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395829
A cross-country comparative analysis shows that there is substantial room for further integration of China into global financial markets, especially in the case of the international bond market. A further successful liberalization of the Chinese bond market would encompass not only loosening...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978420
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009423914
, by analyzing the comovements of real interest rates. The paper uses cointegration and error correction models and draws …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397776
The aim of this paper is to evaluate the welfare gains from financial integration for developing and emerging market economies. To do so, we build a stochastic endogenous growth model for a small open economy that can (i) borrow from the rest of the world, (ii) invest in foreign assets, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399779
A healthy and dynamic financial sector is essential to achieving high and sustainable economic growth in the Maghreb region-Algeria, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, and Tunisia. Financial integration within the Maghreb region will help deepen financial markets, increase their efficiency, and enhance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400223