Showing 1 - 10 of 1,441
Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical … assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of … inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978669
Anchoring of inflation expectations is of paramount importance for central banks' ability to deliver stable inflation … and minimize price dispersion. Relying on daily interest rates and inflation forecasts from major financial institutions … the dispersion of inflation expectations, a proxy for the extent of anchoring, which is based on the same analysts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392613
Adequate modeling of the seasonal structure of consumer prices is essential for inflation forecasting. This paper … suggests a new econometric approach for jointly determining inflation forecasts and monetary policy stances, particularly where … money growth and implied exchange rate paths along with a jointly determined inflation forecast. The approach uses two broad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402063
This paper is an empirical study of the links between monetary variables and inflation based on Cagan’s equation and … differenced model overcomes Evans’ critique of this test and that chronic inflation is essentially a monetary phenomenon caused by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398740
theory to model these inference exercises and to assess their general possibility of success. So, is it possible to infer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009325
Upward sloping yield curves are hard to reconcile with the positive association between income and inflation (the … Phillips curve) in consumption-based asset pricing models. Using US and UK data, this paper shows inflation is negatively … the importance of monetary policy, predicting that a permanently low growth and low inflation environment would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932527
A number of industrialized countries have recently offered inflation-indexed bonds. Some members of another group of … countries that had earlier adopted more comprehensive indexation in response to high inflation have taken steps to reduce the … use of inflation-indexed bonds, and relates these to the experiences of various issuers. The paper also considers some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403310
of inflation rates to decline to targeted levels during many disinflation programs? This paper assesses the relative … data, we find that expectations of future inflation play a much more important role than past inflation in shaping the … inflation process. We also find that an improvement in primary fiscal balances significantly reduces inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404169
of foreign currency holdings in M2X on one side and movements in the exchange rate or inflation on the other is derived … depends mainly on long-term movements in the exchange rate, while the effect of inflation on currency substitution is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397238
This paper provides a new argument for “shock” versus “gradualism” in the implementation of trade policies. In the simple context of a small open economy with rational expectations, we consider the comparative welfare effects of eliminating an import tariff either immediately as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400753