Showing 1 - 10 of 1,780
We propose a dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards. Our parsimonious model … provides an excellent fit for the mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816. The model … mortality gradients across socio-economic statuses, (ii) non-monotonic dynamic effects of in-utero shocks, (iii) persistent or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518293
We discuss existing shortfalls and inequalities in the accumulation of human capital-knowledge, skills, and health. We … improve: the quality, and not just the quantity, of education and health care; outcomes for disadvantaged groups; and lifelong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518777
This paper develops an overlapping agents model with age-specific mortality rates. The analytical framework also nests … Blanchard''s (1985) ""perpetual youth"" model as a special, though perhaps not realistic, case. With age specific mortality … replicate the empirical relation between age and mortality. The comparative implications for deficit finance are also examined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400071
Finance and growth emerged as a distinct field of economics during the last three decades as economists integrated the fields of finance and economic growth and then explored the ramifications of the functioning of financial systems on economic growth, income distribution, and poverty. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612328
What drove the UK productivity slowdown post-GFC, and how is the post-Covid recovery expected to differ? This paper traces the sources of TFP growth in the UK over the last two decades through the lens of a structural model of innovation, using registry data on the universe of firms. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795165
We show empirical evidence that there may not be a tradeoff between market income inequality and high sustained growth, which is key for poverty alleviation. We argue that the economies that achieved high sustained growth and low market income inequality are characterized by dynamism-a drive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517949
This paper explores the macroeconomic impact of social unrest, using a novel index based on news reports. The findings are threefold. First, unrest has an adverse effect on economic activity, with GDP remaining on average 0.2 percentage points below the pre-shock baseline six quarters after a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613425
We analyze the causes of the apparent bias towards optimism in growth forecasts underpinning the design of IMF-supported programs, which has been documented in the literature. We find that financial variables observable to forecasters are strong predictors of growth forecast errors. The greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795149
Following the global financial crisis, significant uncertainty has existed around the U.S. economy's steady state equilibrium. This paper uses a factor model to provide a new approach to estimating 'the stars' (i.e. the neutral interest rate, maximum employment, and the level and growth rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299370
Macroeconomic costs of conflict are generally very large, with GDP per capita about 28 percent lower ten years after conflict onset. This is overwhelmingly driven by private consumption, which falls by 25 percent ten years after conflict onset. Conflict is also associated with dramatic declines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252077