Showing 1 - 10 of 1,402
In this paper, we derive evidence on the integration of international stock markets from the cointegration properties … of international stock market prices. Using the multivariate cointegration test of Johansen, we find that the set of six … subgroup analyses also indicate that the cointegration relationships have become stronger over time. This is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395829
This paper applies the maximum likelihood panel cointegration method of Larsson and Lyhagen (2007) to test the strong … contrasted to those from the Pedroni (1995) cointegration tests and fully modified OLS and dynamic OLS esimators of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401245
, using data from around the time of the 1997 U.K. dividend tax reform, which removed a significant tax credit for an … dividend tax rates across all investors, and that U.K. pension funds should reduce their holdings of the previously tax …-favored asset: U.K. equities. Given that U.K. pension funds are small relative to the total size of the world capital market, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400684
with historical averages, and the dividend/price ratio has recently reached a historic low. These developments and record … paper assesses the recent rise in the stock market using a model for the equilibrium dividend/price ratio. While economic … variables can account for most of the recent fall in the dividend/price ratio, mutual-fund inflows still have some marginal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395821
Is the stock market responsive to macroeconomic news? This paper employs the daily returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Index, the S&P 500 index, the Russell 1000 index, and the Russell 2000 index to examine stock market reactions to a broad list of macroeconomic announcements, including money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401312
This paper outlines an approach to assess uncertainty around a forecast baseline as well as the impact of alternative policy rules on macro variability. The approach allows for non-Gaussian shock distributions and non-linear underlying macroeconomic models. Consequently, the resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251371
This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It … argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small …-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398637
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the United States and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715551
has been relatively limited analysis of the dividend behavior of multinationals. We find that investors in multinationals … dividends, consistent with a view that such regular dividend payments are a mechanism through which to discipline host …-country managers. In contrast, German investors, who tend to invest in riskier countries, do not appear to demand persistent dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404133
the United States, the euro area, and China via a conditional kernel density estimation of a joint distribution. Then, we … individual countries' densities into a world aggregate while preserving the non-i.i.d. nature of the global GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251413