Showing 1 - 10 of 1,034
Is the recent proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) in Asia a healthy development, or runs the risk of turning into an unmanageable ""noodle bowl"" in the future? The goal of this paper is to shed some light on this question. The results show that membership in the Asian RTAs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400352
The paper evaluates the South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) within the global structure of overlapping regional trade agreements (RTAs) using a modified gravity equation. First, it examines the effects of the Trade Liberalization Program which started in 2006. SAFTA would have a minor effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403021
The paper provides quantitative estimates of the impact of the European trade agreements on trade flows. It applies both static and dynamic panel estimation techniques. The results are useful to policymakers because new intra-European trade agreements are being negotiated. In the absence of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400337
Regional integration has been seen in Africa as a means of encouraging trade and securing economies of scale. This paper examines in detail the prospects and challenges for trade expansion in the two most prominent arrangements in eastern and southern Africa: the Common Market for Eastern and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404108
This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It … argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small …-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398637
This paper empirically analyzes the short-run effects of monetary and fiscal policy on aggregate demand, using the two-step structural error correction method. This method has an advantage over the standard reduced-form error correction method in providing a meaningful interpretation for impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403491
The trade discussions between the U.S. and China are on-going. Not much is known about the shape and nature of a potential agreement, but it seems possible that it would include elements of managed trade. This paper attempts to examine the direct, first-round spillover effects for the rest of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154778
This paper examines possible explanations for “winner–loser reversals” in the national stock market indices of 16 countries. There is no evidence that loser countries are riskier than winner countries either in terms of standard deviations, covariance with the world market or other risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403316
China and Australia have increasingly strong links, especially through trade. These are driven by demand from China for … to a services-driven, consumer-led economy. Using ANZIMF, the Australia-New Zealand Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model … to Australia. One simple takeaway is central to each risk - while the real GDP response to shocks in Australia typically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866353
This study assesses the economic implications of China''s changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404019