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Growth and inflation in Turkey have been volatile over the last two decades. It would, therefore, be useful to identify … indicators for inflation and real output growth in Turkey. We find that (i) the forecasting ability of individual indicators is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401315
This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402858
This paper estimates potential output and the sources of growth in Chile during 1970-96. Actual output is cointegrated with the quality-adjusted measures of capital and labor, and constant returns to scale cannot be rejected. The estimates of potential output show a positive output gap in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403254
improve the transparency of machine learning-based forecasts. Applying the framework to Turkey reduces forecast errors by at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251288
Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's integration into world trade and the broader globalization in these economies, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932519
of fiscal policy on the other. Applications to Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Turkey are used to illustrate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399864
for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey reveal such responses, both contemporaneously and over time. Capital account shocks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403824
This paper presents an empirical measure of disinflation credibility and discusses its evolution in Turkey since the … disinflation in Turkey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404049
This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey …, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404096
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009423203