Showing 1 - 10 of 2,458
This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on political budget cycles in a sample of 67 developing countries over the period 1985-2007. We exploit the geographical pattern in the adoption of fiscal rules to isolate an exogenous source of variation in the adoption of national fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155128
This paper studies the interactions between electoral considerations and the imposition of price controls by opportunistic policymakers. The analysis shows that a policy cycle emerges in which price controls are imposed in periods leading to the election, and removed immediately afterwards. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398107
react. Using tax policies as a leading example of foresight, simple theory makes transparent the economic behavior and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618558
-election periods. These findings are consistent with the predictions of rational opportunistic political business cycle theory. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401254
The paper studies empirically fiscal policies around elections in 35 developing countries. It finds that governments try to improve their reelection prospects with the help of expansionary expenditure policies. Rising fiscal deficits before elections are followed by fiscal consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398042
(relative to the variability of the forward bias), and predictable. Estimation of structural models of the risk premium suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403290
This paper develops a model of political regulation in which politicians set the regulated price in order to maximize electoral support by signaling to voters a pro-consumer behavior. Political incentives and welfare constraints interact in the model, yielding an equilibrium in which the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400268
This paper studies a principal-agent model of the relationship between an incumbent officeholder and the electorate, where the officeholder is initially uninformed about her ability. If officeholder effort and ability interact in the ""production function"" that determines performance in office,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403960
We investigate whether private information about citizens'' competence in political office can be revealed by their entry and campaign expenditure decisions. We find that this depends on whether voters and candidates have common or conflicting interests; only in the former case can entry be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399613
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422676